While the planet keeps smashing temperature records like it’s going for some twisted Olympic gold, January 2025 just clinched the title for warmest January ever at 13.23°C—nearly 0.8°C above what used to be normal. The first quarter of 2025? Second-warmest on record, missing the top spot by a laughable 0.035°C. Great job, Earth.
Here’s the kicker: this is happening during La Niña, which typically cools things down. Scientists are scratching their heads because temperatures should be dropping, not staying stubbornly high. February came in third-warmest, March tied with 2016 for second place. Every month’s like a contestant in the world’s worst pageant.
La Niña’s supposed to cool things down, but temperatures keep winning the world’s worst pageant anyway.
Since 1850, Earth’s temperature has climbed about 2°F. That’s roughly 1.1°C for those keeping score. The warming rate? About 0.06°C per decade, but it’s accelerating faster than a teenager’s heartbeat during their first kiss. Current trends indicate we could exceed 2°C warming within 75 years, a threshold scientists consider dangerous. Multiple research groups confirm the trend. No conspiracy here, just thermometers doing their job. January 2025’s temperature was 1.75°C above pre-industrial levels, marking the 18th month in 19 with temperatures over 1.5°C above those baseline levels.
The really fun part? There’s a 70% chance the 2025-2029 average will blow past the 1.5°C threshold above pre-industrial levels. That’s the line scientists said we shouldn’t cross. Oops. This year alone might stay above that marker relative to the 1880-1920 baseline. The persistence near 1.5°C isn’t just a number—it’s a massive red flag for international climate targets. There’s an 80% chance that at least one year between 2025 and 2029 will surpass 2024 as the warmest on record.
The 2023-2024 El Niño cranked up the heat, but even as it faded and La Niña emerged, temperatures barely budged. Scientists expected a bigger cool-down. They didn’t get it. This muted response has them worried about underestimated climate sensitivity.
Meanwhile, extreme heat‘s pummeling every continent. The Arctic’s warming like someone left the oven on. Droughts, wildfires, and heatwaves are becoming the new normal. Marine heatwaves are cooking ocean ecosystems. Fish probably aren’t thrilled.
The data doesn’t lie. Earth’s instrumental records go back to 1850, and they’re painting an ugly picture. Temperatures are rising at their fastest rate since we started measuring. Regional variations exist—some places are absolute furnaces—but the global trend points one direction: up.
References
- https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/global-climate-predictions-show-temperatures-expected-remain-or-near-record-levels-coming-5-years
- https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-january-2025-was-warmest-record-globally-despite-emerging-la-nina
- https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature
- https://www.carbonbrief.org/state-of-the-climate-2025-close-behind-2024-as-the-hottest-start-to-a-year/
- https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2025/2025GlobalTemperature.15April2025.pdf